Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Michael Wild's avatar

Even if the Ukrainian offensive fails, from the Russian viewpoint things look down- right depressing. It must surely be clear to them they can’t do successful offensives and even if Western aid to Ukraine is reduced they look very unlikely to be able to push the Ukrainians back. The Ukrainian will to resist is clearly high and defending is far easier that attacking. The Russians have lost their best trained and equipped troops and while the stocks of cannon fodder may be OK it’s hard to see how they will be trained, equipped and motivated.

The best the Russians can hope for is a frozen conflict while the Russian economy gets progressively ground down by the sanctions whose long term existence looks a certainty as long as Putin is in charge and the annexations remain. I hereby nominate V Putin for the 21st Century’s Biggest Geo-Political Blunder Award.

Expand full comment
RSLaking's avatar

If nothing else, the mystery drone attack would support the various government officials' decision to shrink or cancel big parades on May 9th. Look everyone, it's not safe!

Expand full comment
5 more comments...

No posts