What to look out for tomorrow night

Plus all the resources you need to follow what's going on

The election is upon us. Most of the final polls are in. Unless they are more wrong than they have ever been before, by a distance, the Tories are going to get hammered. The only question is how badly.

It’s a question that really matters. The difference between getting 60 seats and losing official opposition status to the Liberal Democrats, and getting a 1997 style result is massive for the future of the Conservative party and the political right in the UK.

The size of the Labour majority will dictate both the possibilities open to Starmer and also the likely policy areas where he will come under pressure. We have never had an election, at least not in the modern TV era, where so many seats are likely to change hand, or are so hard to call.

The bulk of this penultimate election post is a guide to what to look out for as we progress through Thursday night. But first some other resources to help inform you:

Here are all of my 650 seat previews in one place (posted earlier to the election briefing mailing list) and my final predictions. 77k words in total!

Here is an excellent site designed by subscriber Peter Inglesby showing the results from every MRP for each seat.

Here is a site designed by subscriber Jon Skeet that has a list of all seats with all the different predictions and will update with the results live.

Here is a spreadsheet designed by subscriber “WT” (let me know your real name if you want credit) with all the seats in order of announcement with notes on points of interest and my predictions.

We have the best subscribers.

Tomorrow we’ll have one final pre-election post with all the data from the last set of polls. And then we’ll be back on Saturday morning with a look at whatever just happened.

In the meantime I hope you enjoy the preview below. It is mostly written by Josh with a few additions from me.

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